[1]段 玮,刘兴晖,李廷俊,等.基于血液炎症相关指标建立儿童复杂性阑尾炎的预测模型及验证[J].现代检验医学杂志,2023,38(02):155-159.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1671-7414.2023.02.029 ]
 DUAN Wei,LIU Xing-hui,LI Ting-jun,et al.Establishment of Predictive Models and Verification Based on Related Inflammatory Factors in Blood of Complex Appendicitis in Children[J].Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine,2023,38(02):155-159.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1671-7414.2023.02.029 ]
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基于血液炎症相关指标建立儿童复杂性阑尾炎的预测模型及验证()
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《现代检验医学杂志》[ISSN:/CN:]

卷:
第38卷
期数:
2023年02期
页码:
155-159
栏目:
检验与临床
出版日期:
2023-03-15

文章信息/Info

Title:
Establishment of Predictive Models and Verification Based on Related Inflammatory Factors in Blood of Complex Appendicitis in Children
文章编号:
1671-7414(2023)02-155-05
作者:
段 玮1刘兴晖1李廷俊2黄家虎2王扎根2
(1.上海市浦东新区公利医院检验科,上海 200135;2.上海交通大学医学院附属儿童医院急诊科,上海 200062)
Author(s):
DUAN Wei1 LIU Xing-hui1 LI Ting-jun2 HUANG Jia-hu2 WANG Zha-gen2
(1.Department of Laboratory Medicine, Shanghai Pudong New Area Gongli Hospital, Shanghai 200135, China; 2.Department of Emergency, Children’s Hospital Affiliated to Medical College of Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200062, China)
关键词:
复杂性阑尾炎D-二聚体C-反应蛋白降钙素原中性粒细胞淋巴细胞比值预测模型
分类号:
R574.61;R446.11
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1671-7414.2023.02.029
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
目的 探讨 D-二聚体(DD)、C-反应蛋白(CRP)、降钙素原(PCT)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)及白细胞计数(WBC)等血液中炎症指标对儿童复杂性阑尾炎(complicated acute appendicitis,CAA)的诊断价值,建立预测模型并验证。方法 回顾性分析 2018年 1月~2021年 1月在上海市儿童医院和上海市浦东新区公利医院诊断的 578例阑尾炎患者,根据病理类型分为复杂性阑尾炎组(n=237)和非复杂性阑尾炎组(n=341)。使用二元 Logistic回归分析和卡方自动交互检测(chi-squared automatic interaction detector, CHAID)建立复杂性阑尾炎的预测模型;再通过受试者工作曲线(ROC)对上述两种预测模型进行准确性验证。结果 复杂性阑尾炎组及非复杂性阑尾炎组之间 DD[1.04(0.46, 2.67)mg/L vs 0.36(0.22, 0.58)mg/L],CRP[51.00(17.00, 98.50)mg/L vs 9.00(5.00. 24.00)mg/L],PCT[1.06(0.23,2.80)ng/ml vs 0.10(0.05, 2.80)ng/ml],NLR[9.80(6.56, 15.50) vs 26.93(4.14, 11.60)]及 WBC[16.54(13.48, 20.59)×109/L vs 14.99(12.08, 18.44)×109/L]水平差异有统计学意义(Z=-11.975~-3.799,均 P<0.001)。Logistic回归分析提示 DD, CRP,PCT及 NLR是预测复杂性阑尾炎发生的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。经验证,二元回归预测模型和决策树预测模型的准确率、 AUC值、灵敏度和特异度分别为 80.1%,0.857,79.2%,83.0%;79.6%,0.813,73.8%,86.7%。结论 DD,CRP,PCT及 NLR对小儿复杂性阑尾炎的预判具有较好的临床应用价值;二元回归模型和决策树模型对于儿童复杂性阑尾炎的诊断均有较高的临床应用效能。
Abstract:
Objective To discuss the diagnostic value of D-Dimer (DD), C-reactive protein (CRP), Procalcitonin (PCT), Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), White Blood Cell (WBC) count to complicated acute appendicitis (CAA) in children, in order to build a prediction model and to verify it. Methods Retrospective analysis of 578 hospitalized children with appendicitis diagnosed were studied in Children’s Hospital of Shanghai and Shanghai Pudong New Area Gongli Hospital from August 2018 to January 2021. They were divided into complex appendicitis group (n = 237) and non-complex appendicitis group (n = 341). The prediction model of complex appendicitis was established using binary Logistic regression analysis and Chi-squared automatic interaction detector(CHAID), and the accuracy of the above two prediction models were verified by the receiver operating curve (ROC). Results The levels of DD[1.04(0.46, 2.67)mg/L vs 0.36(0.22, 0.58)mg/L], CRP[51.00(17.00, 98.50) mg/L vs 9.00(5.00. 24.00)mg/L], PCT[1.06(0.23, 2.80)ng/ml vs 0.10(0.05, 2.80)ng/ml], NLR[9.80(6.56, 15.50) vs 6.93(4.14, 11.60)] and WBC[16.54(13.48, 20.59)×109/L vs 14.99(12.08, 18.44)×109/L] were higher in complex group than those in non-complex group obviously, the differences were statistically significant(Z=-11.975~-3.799,all P<0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed that DD, CRP, PCT and NLR were independent risk factors for predicting the occurrence of complex appendicitis. Accuracy of Logistic and CHAID were 80.1% and 79.6%. AUC, sensitivity and specificity were 0.857(95%CI:0.826~0.888), 79.2%, 83.0%; 0.813(95%CI:0.776~0.850), 73.8%, 86.7% respectively. Conclusion The detection of DD, CRP, PCT and NLR have good clinical diagnostic values for the prediction of complex appendicitis in children. Both Logistic model and decision tree model have high accuracy, sensitivity and specificity for the diagnosis of complex appendicitis in children.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2022-06-21修回日期:2022-12-14
基金项目:浦东新区卫生系统重点学科群建设资助项目(PWZxq2022-08)。
作者简介:段玮(1984-),女,本科,主管技师,主要研究领域为临床基础检验, E-mail:28694997@qq.com。
通讯作者:李廷俊(1980-),男,本科,副主任医师,主要研究领域为小儿急诊医学, E-mail:litj@shchildren.com.cn。

更新日期/Last Update: 2023-03-15